The "voting intention" models used by pollsters are nothing but the most amateurish possible forecasts.
They try to build a forecast from a single poll (red flag number one) and that forecast does nothing more than allocate "don't knows" proportionally to decideds.
This is a pseudoscientific approach that discounts the evidence that undecideds lean conservative - and conveniently ignores this is precisely what *just* happened in the Mayoral Elections, and why their "voter intention" forecasts failed miserably just a few weeks ago.
It's a little sad they demand to be taken seriously with a track record this poor
The "voting intention" models used by pollsters are nothing but the most amateurish possible forecasts.
They try to build a forecast from a single poll (red flag number one) and that forecast does nothing more than allocate "don't knows" proportionally to decideds.
This is a pseudoscientific approach that discounts the evidence that undecideds lean conservative - and conveniently ignores this is precisely what *just* happened in the Mayoral Elections, and why their "voter intention" forecasts failed miserably just a few weeks ago.
It's a little sad they demand to be taken seriously with a track record this poor